The AFC West will take the spotlight on Sunday Night Football in Week 13. The Denver Broncos will visit Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a divisional battle. Denver, keyed by a strong defense, is 6-5 overall after three wins in its last four games. Kansas City, led by Patrick Mahomes, was on a roll with four straight victories before a bye in Week 12.
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 8.5-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46.5 in the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds. Before you make any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks and NFL predictions, make sure you check out what SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Entering the 2021 campaign, Hartstein was 351-291 all-time on NFL sides, returning more than $2,200 for $100 bettors.
In addition, Hartstein is an expert on the Chiefs. He is a blistering 20-6 in his last 26 against-the-spread picks involving Kansas City, returning more than $1,300 for $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Broncos vs. Chiefs and just locked in his expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Hartstein's NFL picks. Now, here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Broncos vs. Chiefs:
- Chiefs vs. Broncos spread: Chiefs -8.5
- Chiefs vs. Broncos over-under: 46.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Broncos money line: Chiefs -420, Broncos +320
- DEN: The Broncos are 6-5 against the spread in 2021
- KC: The Chiefs are 4-7 against the spread this season
Why the Broncos can cover
Denver's defense is performing at a high level. The Broncos are No. 3 in the NFL in scoring defense, allowing only 17.8 points per game. Denver is also a top-10 team in total defense (330.8 yards allowed per contest), and the Broncos land in the top four in points allowed per drive (1.66) and first downs allowed (197) this season. Denver is above-average against the run, holding opponents to 106.6 yards per game, and No. 2 in allowing only six rushing touchdowns.
The Broncos are also in the top 10 in pass defense, yielding only 224.2 yards per game, which is crucial against Kansas City's high-powered passing offense. Denver is currently in the top three of the NFL in completion rate allowed (58.6 percent) and quarterback rating allowed (82.7) this season. The Broncos are also opportunistic, generating 10 interceptions and leading the NFL in fourth down defense, with the opposition converting only 27.8 percent of attempts this season.
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs are excellent with extra time to prepare. In fact, Kansas City head coach Andy Reid has an unbelieve 19-3 record when coming off a bye in his career, and the Chiefs are also the more talented team in this matchup. Kansas City ranks No. 2 in total offense, averaging more than 400 yards per game, and the Chiefs lead the league in first downs, yards per drive and third down efficiency. The Chiefs are also prolific in the passing game with Patrick Mahomes leading the charge, and Kansas City is a top-five team in passing yards, passing touchdowns and sacks allowed.
Opponents are scoring only 11.8 points per game against the Chiefs in the last four games, and Kansas City is holding the opposition to fewer than 300 total yards per game over that time. For the season, the Chiefs are also above average in third down defense and turnover creation, both of which could be key against Denver's conservative offense.
How to make Broncos vs. Chiefs picks
Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning under on the point total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Broncos vs. Chiefs? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein's Broncos vs. Chiefs pick, all from the NFL expert who's 20-6 on picks involving Kansas City, and find out.
Source : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/sunday-night-football-odds-spread-line-chiefs-vs-broncos-picks-nfl-predictions-from-expert-on-20-6-roll/969